The Black Swan : Paperback : Penguin Books Ltd : 9780141034591 : 0141034599 : 28 Feb 2008 : What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.
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